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  #1  
Old 12-25-2015, 07:52 AM
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Furio Furio is offline
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Originally Posted by gaunt1 View Post
Soviet tank losses became completely unsustainable by the end of war. They were already running out of tanks in 1944-1945, despite the myths. Total losses are around 95.000 (a shocking number, but true), while total produced is around 110-120.000 That means, 20 Rudels would be enough in that hypothetical scenario...
This is a significant number. May you quote the source? This source gives any breakdown for these losses? Destroyed in combat with enemy tanks, by enemy artillery, on mine fields, by air attack?
Thanks.
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Old 12-25-2015, 07:56 AM
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On Wikipedia, this summary can be found.
2,530 mission flown, 2,100 with Ju87 variants, 430 with Fw190.
Credited with the destruction of:
1 battleship (the Marat)
1 cruiser
1 (or 2) destroyers
70 landing crafts
800 vehicles of all types
150 artillery
519 tanks
4 armoured trains
9 (or 11) aircrafts
If the 800 vehicles don’t include tanks, the total of single target destroyed is:
1,557
Not counting an unspecified, but high number of bridges, bunkers and supply lines (whatever these last could be). The word “hundreds” is used.
All of the above is credited as individual kills, ships included. No shared kills are listed.

He was shot down or forced to land 30 times by anti aircraft fire (never by enemy fighters).
He rescued 6 stranded aircrew from enemy held territory.
He was wounded five times.
He lost a leg on February 8th 1,945, returned to fight on March 25th , claiming 26 more tanks before surrendering to U.S. forces on may 8th.
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Old 12-25-2015, 10:27 AM
Derda508 Derda508 is offline
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I followed this thread with a lot of interest.
All in all I tend towards Furios side, hopefully not only because I find Rudel an absolutely despicable person.
I am pretty sure that he was a very good pilot, but largely a creature of propaganda. The Nazis, despite their mass-ideology that tried to eliminate indiviuality, needed heroes. The public especially loved fighter pilots like Marseille. Hitler himself, who always perceived the war from the perspective of a foot soldier in WWI trenches, never liked the 'gentlemanly' fighters pilots, but favoured the bombers (interestingly labelled 'Kampfflieger', that is fighters, while fighters are 'Jäger' = hunters). The idea of bringing unescapable death from above most probably was a wet dream of his sick brain. So there was a need to find a bomber pilot and make him a propaganda hero. Rudel was fitting the description and very willing and ready to believe that he was the 'chosen one'
It is true that the Nazis were obsessed with keeping records and kill claim procedure was meticulous. But for propaganda exeptions were easily madeor numbers were manipulated. For example the rumours never died that Galland, as long as he was in favour, reached his kill numbers by shooting down airplanes that were already crippled by his squadron members (no shared kills in the Luftwaffe system), other pilots like Krupinski found it sometimes pretty hard to get their kill claims accepted.
So I think it is easily possible that every time Rudel started the engine of his plane, it was counted as a sortie. Or equally that he was credited with the kills of other pilots of his squadron, who conveniently did not return ...
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Old 12-25-2015, 11:26 AM
gaunt1 gaunt1 is offline
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Originally Posted by Furio View Post
This is a significant number. May you quote the source? This source gives any breakdown for these losses? Destroyed in combat with enemy tanks, by enemy artillery, on mine fields, by air attack?
Thanks.
Here you go:
http://www.operationbarbarossa.net/t...e-performance/

total losses are 96.500 tanks and SP guns.

source: G.F. Krivosheev , et al, Soviet Casualties and Combat Losses in the Twentieth Century, Edited by Colonel General G.F. Krivosheev, Greenhill Books, London, 1997. p. 253, table 95.

No breakdown for these unfortunately. But one thing is sure, more than 25.000 of them can be attributed to a single type, the most successful tank killer of WW2: the StuG III.
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Old 12-26-2015, 10:26 AM
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Originally Posted by gaunt1 View Post
Here you go:
http://www.operationbarbarossa.net/t...e-performance/

total losses are 96.500 tanks and SP guns.

source: G.F. Krivosheev , et al, Soviet Casualties and Combat Losses in the Twentieth Century, Edited by Colonel General G.F. Krivosheev, Greenhill Books, London, 1997. p. 253, table 95.

No breakdown for these unfortunately. But one thing is sure, more than 25.000 of them can be attributed to a single type, the most successful tank killer of WW2: the StuG III.
I’ve carefully read this page, and others in the same site, including one that deals with our very topic: effectiveness of anti tank aircrafts versus tanks. Overall, the feeling is that the author read a lot of books, but didn’t do any first hand research. He then plays with available numbers (just like me…) and draws his conclusions, but the lack of direct research cast doubts about the reliability of these conclusions. They are good when he chooses a good source, but we can only have or have not faith in his choices.
That said, author cites reports from Research and Analysis teams entering combat areas, once they were secured, to verify the real effect of weapons and tactics on the battlefield. Or, to put it simply: to compare claims and reality. He cited two cases: Normandy 1,944 and Kursk 1,943 from German side. Somewhat confusing, he then analyses overall result of Soviet ground attack aircrafts for the whole war, basing his evaluation mainly on German reports.
The results are:
4-5% kill-claim ratios for Allied in Normandy, with an overclaiming of 95%, mostly by Typhoons.
2-5% for Germans at Kursk, overclaiming of 95% at best, mostly by Hs129s and Ju87Gs.
6-7% for Russian in the whole war, overclaiming of 93 %, mostly by Il2 and Pe2.
For what is worth, I read elsewhere the same analysis result about Normandy. It is perhaps significant that Russians, with the less specialized Shturmoviks and Peshkas, obtained the best results, but I doubt that the word “best” can be used for such dismal performances. The author cited as the probable causes:
Primitive gun sighting.
Poor precision of unguided rockets.
Very limited ammunition load for cannons, and very low rate of fire.
Very short useful times for target acquisition, sighting, firing and assessing results, all the while manoeuvring to avoid anti aircraft fire.
All of the above looks reasonable to me, and I would add the effect of dust and smoke on visibility, and of wind and typical low-level turbulence on sighting for slow aircraft with relatively low wing loading.
However, in all those analysis (as surely in my posts too) the author makes some suspicious mistakes. For example, talks abut the Il2 and Il10 as being specialized anti-tank types, while they were multi purpose CAS types, with the exception of the Il2-37 with 37 mm cannons, built in relatively small numbers and only briefly employed.
Elsewhere, while debunking the T34 myth, he says: “In addition, USAAF and RAF gave the Russians air superiority for the first time (in 1,944)”. This is clearly absurd, as no USAAF or RAF units were fighting in Russia. I suspect he was implying that the indirect effects of bombing offensive on Western Front should be factored, but then the reverse is equally true, as Russians kept busy Luftwaffe forces that otherwise would have been available against USAAF/RAF bomber offensive. In a “what if” folly, he says that Russia would have lost war in 1,941 if not saved by Lend Lease help received in subsequent years. I have a better “What if”. Demoralised by shameful defeats and appalling losses, Stalin committed suicide in October 1,941, Soviet Union surrendered and Germany conquered the world.
We should always be sceptical about everything: Rudel’s claims and historical analysis by book readers, like we all are.
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Old 12-30-2015, 05:24 PM
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Originally Posted by Furio View Post
I suspect he was implying that the indirect effects of bombing offensive on Western Front should be factored, but then the reverse is equally true, as Russians kept busy Luftwaffe forces that otherwise would have been available against USAAF/RAF bomber offensive.
LW fighter force in Eastern Front in 1944-45 was cut down to bare minimum. Priorities were clear: home defence first, the rest secondary.
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Old 12-31-2015, 09:30 AM
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LW fighter force in Eastern Front in 1944-45 was cut down to bare minimum. Priorities were clear: home defence first, the rest secondary.
If this is true, then the reverse should be true also. Russians gained air superiority for RAF and USAAF during the previous year, exactly when the bomber offensive was risking failure. And it was 1,943 the decisive year for the outcome of war. In 1,944, war was already lost for Germany, regardless LW shifting from East to West, North to South or whatever. In my opinion.
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Old 12-31-2015, 01:51 PM
RPS69 RPS69 is offline
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Russians gained air superiority for RAF and USAAF during the previous year
Nope!
It was really the other way.
Casualties on the home defense, provoqued the removal of full squads from the eastern front. They were supposed to be less important there, than on home defense. Eastern units were depleted on western front behalf. There was an operational atrition on the eastern front, but nothing compared to the attempts on stopping the bomber ofensive.
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Old 12-31-2015, 05:15 PM
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Nope!
It was really the other way.
Casualties on the home defense, provoqued the removal of full squads from the eastern front. They were supposed to be less important there, than on home defense. Eastern units were depleted on western front behalf. There was an operational atrition on the eastern front, but nothing compared to the attempts on stopping the bomber ofensive.
So, keeping LW squadrons on the Eastern front had no relevance whatsoever in the Western skies, and that is true for any war year.
I think that numbers are more reliable than opinions (mine included, of course). Relevant numbers to be considered are:
How many LW pilots defended western skies in 1,942?
How many in the following years?
In the same years, how many LW pilots were busy shooting down thousands of poor Russians, and how many were lost in the process?
On top of that, how many ground attack pilots could be diverted to fighter units if they were not busy killing hundred of thousands of Russian tank crews?
During 1,943, Eight Air Force bombing offensive ran the serious risk of being stopped, because of clearly unsustainable losses. In that period, how many more pilots would have been enough for LW to achieve that result?

As indicative as these numbers could be, they would not tell the whole truth. Such was the scale of World War II, and such complex the reasons of its final outcome that I’m more than sceptical about any claim, including those about who conquered air superiority.
In any case, I’m leaving for some vacation and have no time to play more with numbers. Have a nice year, guys!
Oh, and many thanks to Daidalos Team. Who knows, perhaps they’ll have some surprise for us soon!
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