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Pilot's Lounge Members meetup

 
 
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Old 09-22-2011, 01:24 PM
winny winny is offline
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Join Date: Sep 2009
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Quote:
Originally Posted by IamNotDavid View Post
How are you calculating those odds? There are 2 pilot deaths for every 5 Reno shows. It was inevitable that an aircraft would eventually hit the crowd.
If I went to Reno the odds of me dying there are less than they are for me dying in the same year from a car crash, statistically, as a spectator.

200,000 people attended reno over the week, 11 died.

That's 11 out of 200,000 or 1 death for every 18,200 people there, roughly. The fatalities for road accidents in the USA for 2009 was 11 for every 100,000 people in the population or 1 death for every 9,100 people. Nearly twice the odds.

That's how I calculated. You have to be at Reno to die at Reno, 199,989 people who were there didn't die there this year. You can't ignore them.

Last edited by winny; 09-22-2011 at 01:29 PM.
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