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Originally Posted by raaaid
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what i think its going on here is that with youre bet you bet two times for 11111111 one for 01111111 and one time for 11111110 while i do four completly different bets
but the caught is if the prize its 1 million dollar for getting right the football pool on 11111111 you have two winner tickets but the million dollars is divided between the winners so it would make no difference for you to win one time or two times since however you win one time or two times its youre gettin one million dollars
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oh yes .. but it DOES make a big difference if there are some other people with the same number in addition to you.
Having the same number twice will double your winnings if two or more people share the winning number.
To calculate your advantage you need to factor the likelihood of other people having your number as well as you into your probabilities.