Quote:
Originally Posted by winny
Now you're just deflecting, you seem to have a grasp of numbers, so I'll ask again, what's the probability of this happening again? I'll give you a clue, it's not 1 in 47. Not even close.
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Since 1 in 47 is the example we have seen, that's the example we're going to use. Trying to pretend it wasn't 1 in 47 is deflecting (and moronic).
Quote:
Originally Posted by winny
You're clinging on to 1 in 47, it's irrelevant, it could be 1 in a million and it just happened to happen on the 47th time.
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It could be 1 in 1 billion, but it wasn't. It was 1 in 47. We can only go by the stats available, not by the ones you pull out of your butt.
Quote:
Originally Posted by winny
Should we ban all transatlantic passenger shipping, based on the fact that the Titanic sank on her maiden voyage? Hundreds of deaths for 1 event..
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No, but we can make sure there are enough life boats for everyone on board. If that isn't possible, then we find a different way to do things.
Quote:
Originally Posted by winny
Why haven't we seen these P-51's falling out of the sky every 47th flight? According to you there's a 1 in 47 chance of this happening, it's wrong. You are manipulating the numbers. How many modified P-51's have crashed because of the same (non freak) problem?
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I didn't say anything about 51s falling out of the sky every 47th flight. I have no idea where you got that.
Quote:
Originally Posted by winny
Also your assumption that nobody knew that there was a posibility of danger being there is nonsense. It's a niche 'sport' and the people who were there knew what they were watching. To think otherwise is naive
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The assumption is based on what has been posted in here by pro-Reno people. I'm very confident that it is accurate.