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-   -   Mustang accident (http://forum.fulqrumpublishing.com/showthread.php?t=26260)

Helrza 09-22-2011 06:59 PM

all ill say is, if i had a beautiful mustang hurtling down towards me, sure id be scared about dying for a few whiole seconds... But i can bet you there'd be a massive hallilujah playing in the background somewhere... What an honour :P id die a happy man :)

Sammi79 09-22-2011 07:00 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IamNotDavid (Post 339652)
Bongo, I have a BA in mathematical sciences. What are your qualifications for discussing statistical analysis?

This I find hard to believe since all you, me and anyone else has done on this thread is multiply numbers to get bigger numbers.

IamNotDavid 09-22-2011 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by winny (Post 339654)
That happens a quite lot. Commercial, private, Military - Planes crash.

They don't crash as frequently as Reno planes, or for such a pointless reason.

Quote:

Originally Posted by winny (Post 339654)
It is a freak accident, it's never happened before, 1/47 is misleading, it's too small a number. You could theoretically have 100 more Reno air races and it never happen again.

But it didn't happen 100 times, it only happened 47 times, so that's the number we're going to use. 1/47 is not freakish in any way, nor is it misleading. It's reality.


Quote:

Originally Posted by winny (Post 339654)
You're assuming all deaths have the same cause, they don't.

The deaths are the result not the cause, you can't measure the result and then use it as an argument for cause.

I'm not assuming anything, I'm just counting the dead, and the cause is very well known. It's Reno.

bongodriver 09-22-2011 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IamNotDavid (Post 339652)
Bongo, I have a BA in mathematical sciences. What are your qualifications for discussing statistical analysis?

Ok....but you relied on me to work out the stats you keep waving around ;)

Sammi79 09-22-2011 07:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Helrza (Post 339659)
all ill say is, if i had a beautiful mustang hurtling down towards me, sure id be scared about dying for a few whiole seconds... But i can bet you there'd be a massive hallilujah playing in the background somewhere... What an honour :P id die a happy man :)

Yeah that ^ :grin:

IamNotDavid 09-22-2011 07:02 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sammi79 (Post 339660)
This I find hard to believe since all you, me and anyone else has done on this thread is multiply numbers to get bigger numbers.

I know. And yet most of the pro-Reno people still aren't getting it.

IamNotDavid 09-22-2011 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bongodriver (Post 339662)
Ok....but you relied on me to work out the stats you keep waving around ;)

No, I relied on you to count the dead bodies. That doesn't require a lot of analysis skills.

Sammi79 09-22-2011 07:04 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by IamNotDavid (Post 339664)
I know. And yet most of the pro-Reno people still aren't getting it.

thats because multiplying numbers to get bigger numbers doesn't mean anything other than we all learned multiplication in primary school.

IamNotDavid 09-22-2011 07:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sammi79 (Post 339658)
So who has commented in this thread who has been to Reno and how have they shown you beyond reasonable doubt that they don't understand the risks?

I'm talking about the people in here who would like to go to Reno. I doubt that actually going to Reno makes you any better at statistical analysis (not counting this year's graduating class).

IamNotDavid 09-22-2011 07:06 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Sammi79 (Post 339667)
thats because multiplying numbers to get bigger numbers doesn't mean anything other than we all learned multiplication in primary school.

Yes, it does mean something. That's why we learned how to multiply numbers.


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